They usually hold a large proportion of their money holdings as
transactions balances, using these balances mainly as a buffer, while slowly adjusting their
portfolio composition. In addition, households’ [...] cointegration relationships by the cross correlation between
their monetary overhang measures suggests that models 2-n and 4-r are quite similar in their assessment of
actual money holdings relative to equilibrium [...] cointegration relationships by the cross correlation between
their monetary overhang measures suggests that models 2-n and 4-r are quite similar in their assessment of
actual money holdings relative to equilibrium
the level of real output
rises above trend. The popularity of such rules stems from their simplicity and their
good performance across a wide array of macroeconomic models. In addition, the case [...] change in the
output gap as well as to deviations of (expected) inflation and money growth from their
respective target values. Furthermore, the results suggest that the monetary policy of the
[...] mistakes in estimating the long-run relationships or that, despite the
medium-term orientation of their approach, policymakers still showed some response to
short-run fluctuations in money demand (even
cross-border chains of transactions, criminals are remarkably
adept at concealing the origin of their funds.
The goal of our paper is to shed light on the relationship between the size of the shadow [...] Segendorf's (2007) analysis of the
difference between households' incomes and the expenditures. In their view, this difference captures transactions in the
shadow economy which they find to be positively [...] unbalanced panel structure.8
The trend behavior of the variables included necessitates an analysis of their stationarity properties to determine an
appropriate specification of the empirical model. However
report may not be
suitable for certain investors depending on their specific investment objectives and time horizon or in the context of their overall financial situation. The investments discussed
may [...] explained in their entirety.
This information is given without any warranty on an "as is" basis and should not be regarded as a substitute for obtaining individual advice. Investors must make their own
d [...] investment in any instruments referred to herein based on the merits and risks involved, their own investment strategy and their legal,
fiscal and financial position. As this document does not qualify as an investment
money
supply. Instead, they adjust it to achieve a target for the in-
terest rate, and they adjust their interest-rate target in re-
sponse to movements in output and inflation.“ Oder etwa
Mehrling (2004 [...] sionspapiere, Nr. 01–06, Januar 2006.
Goodhart, C. A., What should central banks do? What should be
their macroeconomic objectives and operations, in: Economic
Journal, November 1994, S. 1424 – 1436.
Hafer
websites are prohibited.
In most cases authors are permitted to post their version of the
article (e.g. in Word or Tex form) to their personal website or
institutional repository. Authors requiring further [...] the participants of seminars
at the Deutsche Bundesbank and the Oesterreichische Nationalbank for their
comments. In particular, we are indebted to M. Vogel for his contribution. The
opinions expressed [...] System 2 (CIS2) of the European
Central Bank, all of the Eurosystem national central banks provide
their issuance data on a monthly basis, including the average
volume of banknotes in circulation, the volume
holdings of US dollars. Central banks
also have an interest in monitoring cash developments
because of their role in operating the payment system.
If banknotes are predominantly demanded for hoarding
purposes [...] of cashed checks is available since 1978, and the time series for
debit card payments start with their introduction in 1987. Prior to these dates,
we set the value of the respective series to zero. The [...] 15Stix (2013) presents survey evidence with many respondents reporting that
they allocate part of their savings to cash.
tests are most decisive for the large denominations, where
both tests indicate
They usually hold a large proportion of their money holdings as trans-
actions balances, using these balances mainly as a buffer, while slowly adjusting
their portfolio composition. In addition, households’ [...] household M3 holdings are also found to be informative for price
developments in the euro area, giving their explanation a particular relevance for
monetary analysis (see European Central Bank, 2006, p. 18) [...] and the
own rate (Read, 1996). Chrystal and Mizen (2001) even include two interest rate
terms in their model, the rate on savings deposits minus a money market rate and
the spread between the rate on
websites are prohibited.
In most cases authors are permitted to post their version of the
article (e.g. in Word or Tex form) to their personal website or
institutional repository. Authors requiring further [...] the participants of seminars
at the Deutsche Bundesbank and the Oesterreichische Nationalbank for their
comments. In particular, we are indebted to M. Vogel for his contribution. The
opinions expressed [...] System 2 (CIS2) of the European
Central Bank, all of the Eurosystem national central banks provide
their issuance data on a monthly basis, including the average
volume of banknotes in circulation, the volume
comprise the fees, possible loss in interest income and
the cost of providing their own resources (in particular, their own time). In this section,
an overall distinction is generally only made between [...] suppliers and costs for consumers. The suppliers, in turn, must meet
their expenditure for providing payment transaction services from their earnings. In
addition to the fees which they have to pay to payment [...] the
“elasticity of demand of customers”, whereby the banks are able to increase their inter-
est revenue or reduce their interest costs. This not only applies to current accounts
which are usually no
all the variables used together
with their abbreviations and data sources.
The trend behavior of the variables included necessitates an analysis of their stationarity properties to
determine an [...] originates in the household sector. Of course, retailers hold cash due to
the payment behavior of their customers. But they have an incentive to economize on cash holdings. Other
non-financial firms and [...]
cross-border chains of transactions, criminals are remarkably adept at concealing the origin of their funds.
To investigate how shadow economic activities affect cash demand, we construct a variable
captures the Bundesbank’s monetary policy remarkably well. However, their
analysis is based on ex-post revised data. We try to replicate their results under more
realistic informational assumptions. Ideally [...] long-run equilibrium
level in response to departures of either expected inflation or output from their respective
targets. Furthermore, they assume that the actual rate adjusts only partially to the target [...] quantitative assessment of the economic outlook.
Staff forecasts of inflation and output do exist, but their semi-annual frequency and varying
time horizons render them unsuitable for our purposes. Therefore
many changes are taking place quite rapidly or have already
been factored by market players into their decisions. These changes involve institutional aspects, the
operational level of the money market [...] intended also for persons working at
banks and other financial sector institutions who seek to deepen their knowledge of European
monetary policy.
We wish to thank Dr. Caroline Willeke of the Deutsche
Evans, 2005, among others).
However, Beck & Wieland actually base their assumption on a couple of studies
supporting their view of relatively long-lasting misperceptions (see, e.g., Orphanides [...] highlight financial intermediaries' role in determining the price of risk. As these
expand their balance sheets, their risk-bearing capacity increases and risk premiums
fall. Thus, balance sheet quantities [...] various financial intermediaries and their respective balance sheet
quantities. First, the information provided by institutions that are marking-to-market
their balance sheet items is of superior
step, we use the selected monetary and credit variables
within different VAR models, and compare their forecasting properties against a benchmark
VAR model with GDP and the term spread (and univariate [...] Economic Association 2015 and the IBEFA Summer Meeting 2015, as well as two anonymous referees for their suggestions
and comments. We also thank R. Borg for helpful comments on an earlier version of the [...] only holding for
Divisia money; Aksoy and Piskorski (2005, 2006) exclude foreign holdings of cash in their analysis. In contrast, the older
literature on the US economy usually found that official monetary
the
market for government securities. Over time, a few of the Reserve Banks began to coordinate their
purchases and sales. The Banking Act of 1933 formalized the FOMC as an entity, consisting of the [...] relationship of the monetary aggregates to spending, the behavior of the ag-
gregates relative to their annual ranges will likely be of limited use in guiding policy
(...), and the Federal Reserve will
outside the euro area and to allow them to sub-frontload credit institutions having their head or registered office in their jurisdiction from 1 December 2001. Also, national central banks of the euro area [...] institutions, national central banks or dedicated exchange points. National central banks will exchange their respective national banknotes against euro free of charge at least until the end of 2012. The bulk [...] money, bonds and shares, that the “prosperous-economy explanation” of the strong dollar is wrong. In their view there is little reason to expect a country’s profit expectations to translate into the exchange
discussed.
The second section of Chapter II discusses various monetary policy strategies and their adequacy to
the Eurosystem. A monetary policy strategy is defined as the basic thrust of monetary [...] marginal lending facility and the
deposit facility. The individual instruments are described, and their effects characterised, using the
consolidated balance sheet, the "financial statement", of the
money supply. Instead, they adjust it to achieve a target for the interest rate, and they adjust
their interest-rate target in response to movements in output and inflation." oder etwa
Mehrling (2004
specific types of
crisis (technological crisis, financial market crisis,
natural disaster) and their effects on the demand for
cash in an international context. As evidence from
the last 30 years shows [...] 1992/93, the (geo-)political crisis after the
9/11 attacks in 2001 and the Euro crisis in
2010/11. In their nature, however, these crises
were effectively confidence crises and hence
do not differ greatly [...] might
reflect precautionary motives as commer-
cial banks in these countries also quickly
increased their vault cash.19 For the US
dollar, the euro and the Swiss franc, again,
foreign non-transactional
money supply. Instead, they adjust it to achieve
a target for the interest rate, and they adjust their interest-
rate target in response to movements in output and infla-
tion.“
Der Poole‘schen Tradition
many changes are taking place quite rapidly or have already
been factored by market players into their decisions. These changes involve institutional aspects, the
operational level of the money market [...] also for persons working at
banks and other financial sector institutions who seek to deepen their knowledge of European
monetary policy.
We wish to thank Dr. Caroline Willeke of the Deutsche
after a while to modify their
liquidity management correspondingly; (2) in the course of the first 18 months, some national
central banks revised their arrangement with their Treasury, also in view of [...] undertakes a similar
analysis of the demand and supply of factors of Federal Reserve deposits and their dynamic
interaction. As far as possible, we follow Hamilton�s line of reasoning. Nevertheless, some [...]
In a second step we cover the interaction between supply and demand factors for deposits and their
price in the form of the spread between the overnight rate and the main refinancing rate of the
Eurosystem
necessarily represent those of the Swiss National Bank.
Working Papers describe research in progress. Their aim is to
elicit comments and to further debate.
COPYRIGHT©
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) [...] via the internet, etc.) for
non-commercial purposes and provided that the source is menti-
oned. Their use for commercial purposes is only permitted with
the prior express consent of the SNB.
General [...] of US dollars. Central banks also have an interest in monitoring cash develop-
ments because of their role in operating the payment system. If banknotes are predominantly
demanded for hoarding purposes
process
may differ substantially from their ex-post revised values. Real-time
uncertainty about key variables, like actual and potential output (and their
rates of growth), opens up a role for [...] and Beck and Wieland (2007, 2008) all restrict their
attention to optimal discretionary policy. Our interest in simple rules is
motivated by their potential advantages over discretionary policy. [...] that the interpretation of the
available data often depends on the assessment of their development relative
to their trend or long-run equilibrium levels that are unobservable and can
only be estimated